Speeches calling for violence against Indian Muslims were made at a three-day event in Haridwar in December 2021. Photo: PTI

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It took one month and immense public pressure for the police to arrest Yati Narsinghanand, who organized a hate speech conference from December 17-19 in Haridwar, Uttarakhand, where extremists called for Hindus to arm themselves and wage war against Muslims in India. The head priest of the Dasna Devi temple in Uttar Pradesh, who routinely calls for violence against Muslims, and has multiple cases against him, was arrested on Saturday for the derogatory remarks that he made against women in July, last year. On Sunday, there were reports of him being sent to judicial custody for 14 days in connection with the hate speech case. Most of the speakers at the conference are still free and Prime Minister Narendra Modi is yet to condemn this incitement to genocide. This, according to Gregory Stanton, a human rights professor and founder of Genocide Watch, suggests that it would be a mistake to dismiss the speakers as the fringe, kooks, and cranks, without any clout or influence. While it was unlikely that all of India would be convulsed in mass killings of the kind orchestrated by the state forces in countries like Cambodia, Rwanda, Sudan, and Myanmar, Stanton, in a recent conversation, told us that the danger of private actors (mobs) carrying out “genocidal massacres” in India was very real.

Stanton, who came up with the “10 Stages of Genocide” when he was with the United States Department of State, has spent decades identifying patterns of genocide across the world and was involved in setting up the tribunals which prosecuted genocide in Rwanda and Cambodia.

“What we are really worried about is what happened in the Haridwar conference in Uttarakhand. They literally called for arming Hindus and killing Muslims. This is called incitement to genocide. You are at a very dangerous stage. Incitement is actually an act of genocide,” he said.

Given the history of the Holocaust, where six million Jews were murdered by the Nazi regime, and genocides in Cambodia, Rwanda, and Sudan (Darfur), where mass killings were orchestrated by the state forces and their supporter, we asked Stanton whether genocide could occur in a sophisticated democracy like India. In other words, while there were extremists calling for violence against Muslims, 200 million of 1.2 billion people, was genocide the right term for a country as politically, socially, and culturally diverse as India? Even with large swathes of the population being radicalized, there was still a secular Constitution, judiciary, and elections. The ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) controlled the lower house of Parliament, but it was not in power in several states.

Genocide, Stanton said, was possible in democracies like India and the United States. And while it was unlikely that the state would commit genocide in these countries, populist leaders and their parties had allowed for conditions in which mobs were now prepared to kill.

“I don’t think the Indian government is likely to commit genocide. I think you have a Constitution that works, but what I do think is that groups like the one in Haridwar are quite capable of carrying out genocidal massacres. Genocidal massacres is the most appropriate term for India,” said Stanton. “Look at what happened during the Partition. It wasn’t committed by the state during the partition, it was committed by mobs.”

“India is quite capable of genocide, just as the United States is. We committed genocide against our own native Americans and African Americans during the slave trade. Is it still possible in the United States? No one should underestimate the extent to which Mr. Trump has brainwashed the Republican Party in which extremists like the Proud Boys and others could carry out genocidal killings,” he said. “You underestimate the potential of violence in the United States if you ignore that.”

Also tracking genocidal patterns is the Early Warning Project at the Center for the Prevention of Genocide at the U.S. Holocaust Memorial Museum in Washington, D.C., where, in a risk assessment for mass killings in 162 countries, India ranks number two for the year 2021-22, up from five and 13 in the previous years. It has been among the top 15 countries most at risk of genocide in the past five years. Citing systematic discrimination against the Muslim minority, the 18-month long ban on the Internet and anti-dissent measures in Kashmir, the “promotion of nationalist and exclusionary ideologies,” among other factors, the project concludes that there is a 14.4%, or approximately 1 in 7, the chance of a new mass killing beginning in India in 2021 or 2022.

At the three-day conference in Haridwar, people applauded as saffron-robed Hindu monks said things like, “If we want to finish off their population, then we are ready to kill and go to jail. If 100 of us become soldiers and kill twenty lakh of them then we are the victors and ready to go to jail. Keep in mind, to protect Bharat Mata and Sanatan Dharam, you will have to become soldiers. Leave aside books and pick up weapons,” “What will come out of this conference will be the order for the nation that elected governments in Uttar Pradesh and Uttarakhand will have to listen, and if they don’t, we will wage a battle far scarier than the battle of 1857,” “Hotel owners who allow Christmas and Eid celebrations will have to save their hotels,” “Get ready to kill or be killed, there is no other option,” and “Who has stopped you from producing ten children.”